62d after the breakout, producthunt_votes is 126 vs 104 at breakout — still above baseline
What changed
Every entry below is a change that has already been observed, with the numbers that triggered it. Kanon detects change; it does not forecast it.
62d after the breakout, producthunt_votes is 120 vs 110 at breakout — still above baseline
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 458 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars momentum fell to 2 per 3d from 22 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 32 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 32 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 15.0 is 6.4 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (8.6±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 7 per 3d from 73 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 4008 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 26.0 is -11.2 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (37.2±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 10.0 is -8.7 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (30.8±2.4, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 560 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 560 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 35.0 is -52.2 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (87.2±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 46.0 is -3.2 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (170.3±38.6, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 12.0 is -10.8 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (22.8±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
64d after the breakout, producthunt_votes is 201 vs 0 at breakout — still above baseline
daily change 76.0 is 52.9 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (3.6±1.4, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 21.0 is -74.9 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (95.9±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 668 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 15.0 is -38.9 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (53.9±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 13 per 3d from 2311 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 11.0 is -5.2 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (16.2±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 23 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 20.0 is -31.0 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (51.0±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 897 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 897 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 167.0 is 48.8 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (118.2±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 13 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 14.0 is -3.8 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (80.6±17.7, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 32.0 is -56.2 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (88.2±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 28 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 140.0 is -4.8 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (203.3±13.3, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 1230 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 1230 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 34.0 is -218.4 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (252.4±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars gained 603 in the last 3d vs 214 in the 3d before (ratio 2.8x, threshold 1.5x)
daily change 12.0 is -63.1 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (75.1±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 6 per 3d from 114 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 12.0 is -26.5 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (38.5±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 361 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 361 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
github_stars gained 64 in the last 3d vs 6 in the 3d before (ratio 10.7x, threshold 1.5x)
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 839 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 839 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 10.0 is -32.8 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (42.8±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 54 per 3d from 3961 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars momentum fell to 852 per 3d from 3657 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars momentum fell to 408 per 3d from 1139 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 4084 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 4084 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
github_stars momentum fell to 2 per 3d from 50 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 11.0 is -68.1 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (79.1±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 37 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 30.0 is -183.3 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (213.3±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 13.0 is 4.5 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (7.0±1.3, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 19.0 is -68.3 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (87.3±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 986 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 986 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 21.0 is -22.0 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (43.0±0.4, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 312.0 is 8.6 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (37.5±32.1, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 16.0 is -45.5 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (61.5±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 16.0 is -53.6 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (69.6±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 60 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 60 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 10.0 is -9.8 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (19.8±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 2 per 3d from 57 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars momentum fell to 67 per 3d from 249 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 14.0 is -22.4 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (36.4±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 16.0 is -3.0 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (64.5±16.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 263 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 263 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 102 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 15.0 is -110.0 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (125.0±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 20.0 is -48.4 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (68.4±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 23.0 is -32.9 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (55.9±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 39.0 is -3.7 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (129.4±24.6, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change -57.0 is -7.7 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (-0.9±7.3, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 1746 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 1746 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 29.0 is 3.1 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (15.8±4.3, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 129 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 129 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 11.0 is -12.3 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (23.3±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 10.0 is -7.4 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (17.4±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars gained 250 in the last 3d vs 94 in the 3d before (ratio 2.7x, threshold 1.5x)
github_stars momentum fell to 15 per 3d from 285 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 46 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 46 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
github_stars momentum fell to 15 per 3d from 1083 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 2877 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 2877 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
github_stars momentum fell to 1 per 3d from 11 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 48 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 39.0 is -3.9 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (110.2±18.2, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 16.0 is -31.5 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (47.5±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 28.0 is -3.4 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (86.3±17.1, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 17.0 is -13.0 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (30.0±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 111.0 is -118.9 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (229.9±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 4 per 3d from 101 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 10.0 is -13.4 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (23.4±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 599.0 is 445.8 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (153.2±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 17.0 is -37.2 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (54.2±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars gained 1674 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
github_stars gained 1365 in the last 3d vs 294 in the 3d before (ratio 4.6x, threshold 1.5x)
github_stars did not move for 7d, then gained 36 in the last 3d
github_stars gained 36 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
github_stars gained 42 in the last 3d vs 27 in the 3d before (ratio 1.6x, threshold 1.5x)
github_stars gained 265 in the last 3d after a flat 3d baseline (no prior movement to compare a ratio against)
daily change 44.0 is 3.6 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (10.1±9.4, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 34.0 is -41.0 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (75.0±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 55 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars momentum fell to 0 per 3d from 2314 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 12.0 is -3.3 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (27.5±4.8, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 13.0 is -44.2 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (57.2±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 61.0 is -566.5 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (627.5±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
daily change 25.0 is -19.9 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (44.9±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
github_stars momentum fell to 13 per 3d from 187 (<= 40% of the prior window)
github_stars momentum fell to 781 per 3d from 7342 (<= 40% of the prior window)
daily change 23.0 is -27.7 standard deviations from this entity's own prior mean (50.7±0.0, baseline excludes this point) — unusual, not necessarily adoption
signal-v1. Published thresholds: accelerating = this window's gain ≥ 1.5× the previous window (min +5); cooling = momentum falls to ≤ 40% of the prior window; reactivated = flat for 7d then moving; anomaly = |z| ≥ 3 against the entity's own history. Every number above is recomputable from these constants. Machine feed: /api/v2/changes.